Discussion:
CLIMATE CHANGE: its worse than you think
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Gerry
2005-05-14 22:29:21 UTC
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We have heard a lot about climate change and the need to reduce emissions of
greenhouse gases such as CO2. Although we are told that climate change will
lead to an increase in floods, droughts and hurricanes, many people assume
that the changes will be very slow and, for people living in cold climates,
they could mean some nice warm weather.

But the threat of climate change is much worse than most people imagine.
There is a real risk that rising temperatures could spiral out of control
and reach levels that would wipe out the majority of species on the planet,
including the human species.

A two page summary of the reasons may be found in "Climate change: its worse
than you think" issued by the Campaign against Climate Change. This summary,
and other articles on the same theme, can be reached from
www.mng.org.uk/green_house/threat/threat.htm .

Gerry
a***@aol.com
2005-05-15 08:22:48 UTC
Permalink
Post by Gerry
We have heard a lot about climate change and the need to reduce emissions of
greenhouse gases such as CO2. Although we are told that climate change will
lead to an increase in floods, droughts and hurricanes, many people assume
that the changes will be very slow and, for people living in cold climates,
they could mean some nice warm weather.
But the threat of climate change is much worse than most people imagine.
There is a real risk that rising temperatures could spiral out of control
and reach levels that would wipe out the majority of species on the planet,
including the human species.
A two page summary of the reasons may be found in "Climate change: its worse
than you think" issued by the Campaign against Climate Change. This summary,
and other articles on the same theme, can be reached from
www.mng.org.uk/green_house/threat/threat.htm .
Gerry
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,1066-1611366,00.html

May 14, 2005

A wrapped glacier, orange butterflies, uneaten wood mice: what's the
link?
Wild Notebook by Simon Barnes



THE BEST COMEDY always has an edge: so this week has been livened up
with a funny story about the ecological holocaust and the extinction of
the human species. Have you heard what they are doing about the
Gurschen Glacier in Switzerland? They are wrapping it up in plastic.
They are applying an insulating fleece, which will be in place all
summer to keep the glacier nice and cool. Because the damn thing is
melting like the cubes in a jug of Pimm's.
Already it is impossible to reach the start of the best runs. At the
top skiing station, the glacier is 20m less thick than it was 15 years
ago. To speak only financially, it's a disaster. So they are wrapping
up 2.5 sq km of glacier to try and stop the sun from doing its worst
this summer: "Like trying to repair the Titanic with sticking
plaster," Andrew Lee, of WWF, said.



Global warming has always been a joke. At least, it has for those of us
who live in the North: and that is where the power and the money of the
world is concentrated. What, warmth a bad thing? That's obviously
absurd. Counter-intuitive. Early spring feels good. For us in the
North, warmth is life.

But try being in Africa in what old Africa hands still call the suicide
month. That's warm all right. It's the rain you long for. The
equation is the same everywhere: sun plus water equals life. In Africa
they get too much warmth, just as we get too much cold and wet. We just
can't believe that warmth could ever be a bad thing.

But it's killing us. It's killing the planet. Sir David King, chief
scientific adviser to the Government, writing in the RSPB Birds
magazine, puts climate change as the fourth great threat to
biodiversity: along with the old favourites, habitat destruction,
overexploitation by human beings and the invasion of exotic species.

Carry on the way we are going, and 37 per cent of existing species will
be extinct by 2050. The system is falling apart. We are being killed by
kindness, by the ever balmier springs and the ever sweeter summer sun
of the North. But before you despair, pass the Pimm's.



AM I BEING too grim? One of the great things about life is life, and
life is the greatest thing for cheering up a gloomy conservationist. A
conservationist of the old-fashioned kind, rooted in wildlife, is
always finding consolation. Like, for example, orange-tip butterflies.
They're everywhere: white butterflies with, yes, orange tips on their
wings. That's the males: the females are mostly white and overlooked.

And no, they're not endangered so I can't moan about that. You can
see them in hedgerows, road verges and woodland edges: small, rapid
wing beats, and the vivid flash of orange. They're actually doing
rather well: spreading further and further north. To do with climate
change, you know. Prettiest messenger of doom you'll ever see.



BUT I'LL START getting bitter if I go on like this. Let's talk
about barn owls: always a favourite subject of mine. The Hawk and Owl
Trust reports hordes of barn owls breeding absurdly early in Wiltshire.
One pair laid eggs as early as the first week in February. A local
observer later found a nestful of owlets with a larder of uneaten wood
mice for future reference. It's a great success story.
And it all seems nothing less than great. Global warming is fun: early
orange tips, early barn owls, and don't we all feel better for the
sun on our backs? We'd think different thoughts if the capital cities
of the world were in Zambia. But in New York and London, we wait all
year for a bit of warmth: the day when the girls metamorphose into
dazzling nymphs, the men wear their jackets on their thumbs and we all
spill across the pavements, drinking and laughing.

And who cares if the Greenland ice sheet is shrinking? If - when -
it does, the sea level will rise by seven metres. And that will drown
sea-girt New York and riverine London both. Perhaps then people will
take this subject seriously. And everybody will say: isn't it a
frightful shame that those bloody fools of the Nineties and the Noughts
didn't do something when they could? I'd better make another jug of
Pimm's.
King Amdo
2005-05-15 09:48:22 UTC
Permalink
Yes, the situation will probably accellerate exponetally...the chain
reaction effect...it gets warming, so theres more melting, warner
Earth, and so it gets warmer and warmer. (looks out of the
window)...boy! it looks like warm day today...

Blessed be.
Don
2005-05-16 00:03:59 UTC
Permalink
THE BEST COMEDY always has an edge: so this week ...
I doubt that human societies globally will start to do anything substantial
about climate change until the effects are well and truly obvious, the
Greenland ice melted and the seas risen. Human beings have a tremendous
faith that "it will never happen" and when it does, that "someone will do
something about it" or that technology will come to our aid. Trouble is they
and it won't. No one nation will start to act altruistically because they
won't believe that anyone else will - so why be the first?

We should just comfort ourselves in the knowledge that the planet has been
there before (hot and high CO2) and yet life survived - maybe not our
species but something else and more deserving too.

It will be a sad epitaph on homo sapiens that he/she was wise enough to
exploit the world, but not wise enough to exploit it wisely.

regards
Don
john
2005-05-17 00:54:25 UTC
Permalink
I'm not conventionally religious, if I ever was, but I take comfort in
a verse from the Gospel of St. John: "The light shines in the
darkness, and the darkness has not overcome it."

The author was probably talking in some Gnostic sense about
supernatural "light" from the spirit world illuminating this "dark"
universe composed of matter, and in modern naturalistic terms that's
largely Gnostic/Platonic nonsense.

But on the global climate change issue, there are people testifying to
the "light" of reason, and of empirical investigation, concerning what
fossil fuel use is doing to the climate, and what the climate is going
to do to the world. The darkness of prejudice, psychological denial
and economic bias has not overwhelmed these voices testifying to the
truth. Let's keep testifying.

By the way, aozot - our spring this year in Washington DC, right in the
heart of the Empire as far as destructive fossil fuel policies are
concerned, has been absolutely lovely. We haven't seen the
orange-tipped butterflies and the early breeding owls that Simon Barnes
mentioned - at least if we have, I'm too poor a naturalist to have
noticed. But our spring cherry blossoms and our pink magnolias this
year were breathtakingly beautiful. Our azaleas, some white, some
lavender, some salmon colored, are glorious, and in my neighborhood in
Washington a few blocks from the National Zoo, the white dogwoods and
the yellow iris are competing with the tulips in terms of magnificence.
The young soft green leaves on the trees are beginning to darken, but
only very gradually, to prepare us for the harder lushness of the
Washington DC/Maryland summer.

A very domesticated, gardener's-eye view of nature, perhaps, but
impressive all the same. And lovely enough to give the impression that
God's in His heaven and all's right with the world.

Meanwhile, the news floats around the Internet about northern India
this year suffering from 113 degree F weather. Other news items
suggest that the oceans are warming up, that Greenland glaciers and
polar ice caps are in danger. Southern Africa is facing yet another
year of serious drought, it appears.

And this is mixed in with disturbing political news about riots in
Aghanistan, new suicide bombings in Iraq, suppressed demonstrations in
Uzbekistan, British spy memos that show President Bush "cooking" the
intelligence data in 2002 to provide an excuse for an Iraq invasion
... all news that we'd rather not think about just now, for the gardens
are so lovely, and it seems a shame to turn from comtemplating those
marvelous trees and lush azaleas to think about what it all means. If
I can keep my brain from thinking about the wars and the African
drought and the Greenland glaciers, maybe I'll walk down by the Zoo and
discover one of those orange butterflies Barnes has described.

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