Eric Gisin
2010-05-15 13:26:27 UTC
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/05/15/niwas-kiwi-kaper/
http://www.quadrant.org.au/blogs/doomed-planet/2010/05/crisis-in-new-zealand-climatology
Posted on May 15, 2010 by Anthony Watts
It should be noted that NIWA is not the official Meteorological Service of New Zealand. From their
FAQs: Is NIWA the Met Service?
No, the MetService is a separate company which can be found at www.metservice.com. NIWA does
perform climate prediction and monitoring services, however, but these are more long term. .
and.NIWA is a Crown Research Institute, established in 1992. It operates as a stand-alone company
with its own Board of Directors and Executive. - Anthony
Crisis in New Zealand climatology
by Barry Brill
May 15, 2010
The warming that wasn't
The official archivist of New Zealand's climate records, the National Institute of Water and
Atmospheric Research (NIWA), offers top billing to its 147-year-old national mean temperature
series (the "NIWA Seven-station Series" or NSS). This series shows that New Zealand experienced a
twentieth-century warming trend of 0.92°C.
The official temperature record is wrong. The instrumental raw data correctly show that New Zealand
average temperatures have remained remarkably steady at 12.6°C +/- 0.5°C for a century and a half.
NIWA's doctoring of that data is indefensible.
The NSS is the outcome of a subjective data series produced by a single Government scientist, whose
work has never been peer-reviewed or subjected to proper quality checking. It was smuggled into the
official archive without any formal process. It is undocumented and sans metadata, and it could not
be defended in any court of law. Yet the full line-up of NIWA climate scientists has gone to
extraordinary lengths to support this falsified warming and to fiercely attack its critics.
For nearly 15 years, the 20th-century warming trend of 0.92°C derived from the NSS has been at the
centre of NIWA official advice to all tiers of New Zealand Government - Central, Regional and
Local. It informs the NIWA climate model. It is used in sworn expert testimony in Environment Court
hearings. Its dramatic graph graces the front page of NIWA's printed brochures and its website.
Internationally, the NSS 0.92°C trend is a foundation stone for the Australia-New Zealand Chapter
in the IPCC's Third and Fourth Assessment Reports. In 1994, it was submitted to HadleyCRUT, so as
to influence the vast expanses of the South Pacific in the calculation of globally-averaged
temperatures.
The Minister of Research Science and Technology, the Hon Dr Wayne Mapp, has finally become alarmed
at the murky provenance of the NSS. The Government has directed and funded a 6-month project to
produce a new national temperature record, with published data and transparent processes. The
replacement record is to be the subject of a scientific paper, which is to be peer-reviewed by the
Australian Bureau of Meteorology.
Hon Rodney Hide, a climate sceptic who is a Minister in the current Government and leader of the
junior coalition partner, the ACT Party, has called upon his ministerial colleagues to formally
repudiate the NSS and to withdraw all publications and formal papers which are based on the
spurious warming trend of 0.92°C. The Government has not yet responded to this challenge.
New Zealand is a small country, with a strong tradition of open Government, and is not an easy
place to keep secrets. The acceptance of the NSS for so long offers evidence of the dictum: "you
can fool all of the people some of the time.." But if that can happen in New Zealand, how much
greater is the probability that similar shenanigans could be happening in larger, more complex,
jurisdictions?
BACKGROUND
The New Zealand Meteorological Service, with its forebears, has been measuring and recording our
weather since 1861. In 1992, it published a booklet containing a detailed history of all its
weather stations, along with 140 years of climate data. In that year, NIWA came into being and has
now published most of the Met Service data online.
In 2007, the then Prime Minister announced her party's intention that New Zealand should lead the
world in fighting climate change, and aim to be the world's first carbon-neutral country by 2025.
Earlier in 2007, NIWA produced a web page, followed by a printed brochure, with a graph showing
that New Zealand had already warmed by an amount far in excess of global averages. The web page
claimed a temperature increase of 1.1C during the 144 years of Met Service records, and a 0.92°C
trend during the 20th century.
These are remarkable claims. They came out of the blue and do not accord with any written
histories, or the personal impressions of our older generations. They don't square with "hottest
day" records held in provinces and city archives. They were not accompanied by big changes in
rainfall or winds or sea levels. In these claims, NIWA is a very lonely orphan.
Read the entire substantial essay here at Quadrant Online
h/t to WUWT reader A C Osborn
http://www.quadrant.org.au/blogs/doomed-planet/2010/05/crisis-in-new-zealand-climatology
Posted on May 15, 2010 by Anthony Watts
It should be noted that NIWA is not the official Meteorological Service of New Zealand. From their
FAQs: Is NIWA the Met Service?
No, the MetService is a separate company which can be found at www.metservice.com. NIWA does
perform climate prediction and monitoring services, however, but these are more long term. .
and.NIWA is a Crown Research Institute, established in 1992. It operates as a stand-alone company
with its own Board of Directors and Executive. - Anthony
Crisis in New Zealand climatology
by Barry Brill
May 15, 2010
The warming that wasn't
The official archivist of New Zealand's climate records, the National Institute of Water and
Atmospheric Research (NIWA), offers top billing to its 147-year-old national mean temperature
series (the "NIWA Seven-station Series" or NSS). This series shows that New Zealand experienced a
twentieth-century warming trend of 0.92°C.
The official temperature record is wrong. The instrumental raw data correctly show that New Zealand
average temperatures have remained remarkably steady at 12.6°C +/- 0.5°C for a century and a half.
NIWA's doctoring of that data is indefensible.
The NSS is the outcome of a subjective data series produced by a single Government scientist, whose
work has never been peer-reviewed or subjected to proper quality checking. It was smuggled into the
official archive without any formal process. It is undocumented and sans metadata, and it could not
be defended in any court of law. Yet the full line-up of NIWA climate scientists has gone to
extraordinary lengths to support this falsified warming and to fiercely attack its critics.
For nearly 15 years, the 20th-century warming trend of 0.92°C derived from the NSS has been at the
centre of NIWA official advice to all tiers of New Zealand Government - Central, Regional and
Local. It informs the NIWA climate model. It is used in sworn expert testimony in Environment Court
hearings. Its dramatic graph graces the front page of NIWA's printed brochures and its website.
Internationally, the NSS 0.92°C trend is a foundation stone for the Australia-New Zealand Chapter
in the IPCC's Third and Fourth Assessment Reports. In 1994, it was submitted to HadleyCRUT, so as
to influence the vast expanses of the South Pacific in the calculation of globally-averaged
temperatures.
The Minister of Research Science and Technology, the Hon Dr Wayne Mapp, has finally become alarmed
at the murky provenance of the NSS. The Government has directed and funded a 6-month project to
produce a new national temperature record, with published data and transparent processes. The
replacement record is to be the subject of a scientific paper, which is to be peer-reviewed by the
Australian Bureau of Meteorology.
Hon Rodney Hide, a climate sceptic who is a Minister in the current Government and leader of the
junior coalition partner, the ACT Party, has called upon his ministerial colleagues to formally
repudiate the NSS and to withdraw all publications and formal papers which are based on the
spurious warming trend of 0.92°C. The Government has not yet responded to this challenge.
New Zealand is a small country, with a strong tradition of open Government, and is not an easy
place to keep secrets. The acceptance of the NSS for so long offers evidence of the dictum: "you
can fool all of the people some of the time.." But if that can happen in New Zealand, how much
greater is the probability that similar shenanigans could be happening in larger, more complex,
jurisdictions?
BACKGROUND
The New Zealand Meteorological Service, with its forebears, has been measuring and recording our
weather since 1861. In 1992, it published a booklet containing a detailed history of all its
weather stations, along with 140 years of climate data. In that year, NIWA came into being and has
now published most of the Met Service data online.
In 2007, the then Prime Minister announced her party's intention that New Zealand should lead the
world in fighting climate change, and aim to be the world's first carbon-neutral country by 2025.
Earlier in 2007, NIWA produced a web page, followed by a printed brochure, with a graph showing
that New Zealand had already warmed by an amount far in excess of global averages. The web page
claimed a temperature increase of 1.1C during the 144 years of Met Service records, and a 0.92°C
trend during the 20th century.
These are remarkable claims. They came out of the blue and do not accord with any written
histories, or the personal impressions of our older generations. They don't square with "hottest
day" records held in provinces and city archives. They were not accompanied by big changes in
rainfall or winds or sea levels. In these claims, NIWA is a very lonely orphan.
Read the entire substantial essay here at Quadrant Online
h/t to WUWT reader A C Osborn